Strategies for future-proofing your supply chain amid growing egg volatility

With US egg supply safety, pricing and supply fluctuating almost daily, CPG manufacturers and commercial bakeries need ingredient solutions to help address these issues. At Ardent Mills, we’re working with customers to implement both short- and long-term strategies for addressing pressing challenges while still creating products that deliver on consumer expectations.

In July, the FDA (Food and Drug Administration) upgraded its most recent egg recall to a Class I risk level—the agency's highest alert category—due to a multistate Salmonella Enteritidis outbreak linked to nearly 2 million eggs.1  Combined with sporadic price spikes in recent months, manufacturers are left wondering how to manage their supply chains and product availability with so much uncertainty surrounding an often critical ingredient in customer portfolios. 

We’re resharing a blog originally written in March 2025 that focuses on the volatility surrounding eggs as an ingredient. And while pricing isn't as high as when we first published this piece, there are many factors that make eggs no less unpredictable. Read on to learn more about the ingredient solutions Ardent Mills has developed to help our customers replace eggs in their formulations without sacrificing the product performance consumers expect.


 

Earlier this month, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) projected that already record-high egg prices could rise by as much as 40% in 2025. According to recent reporting by the Associated Press, "the average price of a dozen Grade A eggs in U.S. cities reached $4.95 in January (2025), eclipsing the previous record of $4.82 set two years earlier and more than double the low of $2.04 that was recorded in August 2023."2 

Despite most of the media coverage focusing on the effect of egg price increases on consumers, the impact on retailers and manufacturers is even more pressing – with egg prices continuing to climb higher in wholesale markets as well. According to February USDA data, wholesale egg prices have risen by $0.40 in the past 30 days, bringing the cost for distributors to $7.44 per dozen.3 These rising costs (driven primarily by the avian flu outbreak) are creating significant challenges for large-scale food manufacturers, particularly commercial bakers and CPG brands that rely on eggs for products like cookies, cakes and muffins. 

When high prices are paired with ongoing supply disruptions caused by avian flu outbreaks, the costly combination is leaving organizations searching for cost-effective solutions to help them keep the bakery and snack aisles stocked with the foods consumers are seeking.

Ardent Mills began innovating egg replacement solutions several years before the recent price surges to give our customers options that could help address a variety of goals. While reducing cost is often top of mind for manufacturing operations, customers are also looking beyond cost savings to other business-critical objectives like consistent supply, application performance and the ability to strategically meet evolving consumer preferences with agility.

"We approach innovation as a bridge between where the industry is today and where it needs to go tomorrow."

Angie Goldberg, Ardent Mills Chief Growth Officer
2020 Senior Leadership Team (SLT) headshots

"Ardent Mills Egg Replace is a powerful example of how Ardent Mills is helping customers navigate immediate challenges while also creating opportunities to nourish communities, future-proof supply chains, and drive food forward without extensive need to reformulate," said Angie Goldberg. 

Eggs are integral to the taste and texture of bakery products, influencing everything from color, flavor and proper binding to tenderness. This makes removing or replacing eggs a challenge for companies that aren't willing to sacrifice quality or consistency. 

Ardent Mills Egg Replace, which is vegan4 and gluten free, can replace up to 100% of eggs in many commercial baked goods, while helping to maintain taste, functionality and performance and can help manufacturers see cost savings of 35-50 percent compared to dry whole egg.5

"For manufacturers, replacing eggs has traditionally meant trade-offs—but Egg Replace changes that," added Goldberg. "It delivers the taste, texture and performance of eggs while helping customers streamline formulation, reduce costs and navigate supply chain challenges—all while meeting the growing demand for plant-based ingredients."

And while brands are working to find short-term solutions in response to current egg pricing and supply shortages, we view Egg Replace as a long-term strategy for helping to stabilize the supply chain that can be implemented efficiently and with confidence. While other egg replacers can have as many as 10 ingredients, Egg Replace contains only four, helping to streamline the transition for manufacturing and support simple labeling and ingredient statements. Additionally, Ardent Mills' team of technical experts can partner with customers to help optimize the performance and functionality of Egg Replace for all your product applications. 

"When we work with customers, what drives us is helping them achieve their growth goals as efficiently and confidently as possible," said Goldberg. "Taking a long-term view on how to help successfully adapt to change is at the forefront of our innovation strategy."

To learn more about Egg Replace and how it could help you and your team stabilize your present-day operations and prepare for the future supply chain challenges of tomorrow, reach out to us today. 

1 https://www.fda.gov/food/outbreaks-foodborne-illness/outbreak-investigation-salmonella-eggs-july-2026

2 https://apnews.com/article/small-business-egg-prices-shortage-bird-flu-bab4d891b90d2c346629aeeb7a7a81c7

3 https://abcnews.go.com/US/egg-prices-continue-crack-record-highs-usda/story?id=118891681

4 For more information on vegan at Ardent Mills, visit https://contentlibrary.ardentmills.com/m/30f844e4f0f7e844/original/ardent-mills-non-animal-testing-vegan-vegetarian-statement-february-2025.pdf

5 Actual savings depends on current egg cost. Comparable savings can be achieved by replacing liquid whole eggs. Data comes from USDA median dried egg price for CY 2022-2024